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Implied Move Calculator

How far the options market expects a stock to move — from implied volatility or the straddle.

Input
Expected move
± $8.60
± 8.60%
1 SD range (~68%)
$91.40$108.60
2 SD range (~95%)
$82.80$117.20
Implied daily move ≈ ± $1.57.

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How to use it

Enter the stock price and either the annualized implied volatility with days to expiration, or switch to straddle mode and enter the at-the-money straddle price. The calculator returns the expected one-standard-deviation move in dollars and percent, the ~68% and ~95% price ranges, and (in IV mode) the implied daily move.

The formula

1 SD move ≈ price × IV × √(days ÷ 365). At $100 with 30% IV and 30 days, that’s about ±$8.60 (±8.6%), so a ~68% range of roughly $91.40–$108.60. Doubling it gives the ~95% range.

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Frequently asked questions

What is the implied move?

The implied (expected) move is how far the options market expects a stock to move by a given expiration, in dollars and percent. A one-standard-deviation move captures roughly 68% of the probability distribution, so the stock is expected to finish within that range about two-thirds of the time.

How is the implied move calculated from IV?

One standard deviation ≈ stock price × implied volatility × √(days ÷ 365). IV is annualized, so the square-root-of-time factor scales it to the days remaining. This calculator also derives the ~68% and ~95% ranges and the implied daily move.

Can I use the straddle price instead?

Yes. Switch to straddle mode and enter the at-the-money call plus put price — that total is a close proxy for the one-standard-deviation move. Straddles tend to slightly overstate the realized move, so there is an optional ~15% tightening toggle.

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